Will SpaceX stock skyrocket? That is honestly the question everyone keeps asking right now, and Wall Street still cannot fully agree on an answer. Average price targets sit near $145 at the time of writing, while a handful of bearish calls put fair value as low as $62, which is a massive gap for one stock. Wall Street is also split on the SpaceX stock prediction because of how new this listing still is.

Cathie Wood‘s SpaceX stock bet already runs into the hundreds of millions of dollars, and her firm’s SpaceX stock target points toward a multi trillion dollar valuation by 2030. So will SpaceX stock skyrocket from here? It really comes down to two things, how fast Starship starts flying on schedule, and also whether Starlink’s profits can outrun the losses coming from the AI side of the business. Anyone wondering if they should buy SpaceX stock right now will want to weigh both sides first.

Also Read: How Low Will SpaceX Go: Could SPCX Fall Below $100 in 2026?

SpaceX shares priced at $135 on June 12, opened at $150, and closed the first trading day up nearly 19 percent. The stock has swung as high as $225.64 and as low as the $140s since then. Investors betting SpaceX stock will skyrocket further often point to that first day pop as proof the demand was real, not just IPO hype. That said, SPCX slid another 4.5 percent on July 10, a reminder that this stock still moves a lot even weeks after the debut.

SpaceX Stock Forecast And Growth Risks Ahead

SpaceX Stock Target And What Analysts Are Saying

Whether SpaceX stock will skyrocket toward that $190 mark is now one of the bigger debates on Wall Street right now. Wedbush’s Dan Ives set the most watched SpaceX stock target on the Street, initiating coverage with an Outperform rating.

Dan Ives, Wedbush’s Global Head of Tech Research, said:

“Much more of an AI play”

That view leans on SpaceX’s compute deals with Anthropic and also Google, not just its rocket or Starlink business. Whether that SpaceX stock target holds up depends heavily on Starship, which has flown just 12 test flights so far and still hasn’t demonstrated in orbit propellant transfer, at the time of writing.

Musk already warned what could happen if Starship falls behind schedule. In an internal memo about the Raptor engine program, back in 2021, he wrote that the company faced a:

“Genuine risk of bankruptcy”

That warning still shows up as a live risk factor in SpaceX’s own IPO filings today, and that is part of why this SpaceX stock prediction stays so divided among analysts.

Should I Buy SpaceX Stock Right Now

Anyone trying to figure out if SpaceX stock will skyrocket from current levels should probably start with Starlink, since it is the one part of the business that is actually turning a profit. It pulled in $11.4 billion in 2025 and climbed to 69 percent of total company revenue by the first quarter of 2026. A near term catalyst also landed on July 7, when SPCX joined the Nasdaq 100. That is really at the heart of whether SpaceX stock will skyrocket long term or simply level off once the excitement fades.

Cathie Wood’s SpaceX stock buying has been aggressive since IPO day, with more than $500 million spent on day one alone. ARK Invest laid out its reasoning in its investment thesis:

“The company’s ability to re-use rockets results in structurally lower launch costs than competitors.”

Not everyone shares that same confidence though. Jim Cramer summed up the stock’s wild early trading with a line traders keep repeating even now:

“I clock SpaceX going up one point per hour.”

Cathie Wood’s SpaceX Stock Case And What Comes Next

Cathie Wood’s SpaceX stock position is now among ARK’s largest holdings, built on the bet that Starlink and orbital AI infrastructure can carry the company toward a $2.5 trillion valuation by 2030. ARK kept adding to that Cathie Wood SpaceX stock position on July 10 too, buying across all four of the funds that already hold it, ARKK, ARKQ, ARKW and ARKX, which made SpaceX the single most bought name across the whole fund family that day, ahead of a fresh position ARK also opened in Coinbase. Whether SpaceX stock will skyrocket that far still hinges on an insider lockup expiration coming in late July and August, when up to 20 percent of insider shares become eligible for sale.

So will SpaceX stock skyrocket? Starlink’s growth and also Wall Street’s SpaceX stock target both support the bulls here, while Starship’s slow test record and Musk’s own bankruptcy warning support the skeptics on the other side. This SpaceX stock prediction really will not settle until Starship proves it can fly on schedule, and right now that is still an open question. Anyone still weighing whether they should buy SpaceX stock is really betting on which of these two stories wins out first.