The Alphabet stock target got a fresh lift on Monday after Piper Sandler raised its price target on Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOGL) to $445, up from $425, while also keeping its Overweight rating on the shares. The upgrade came right after the firm published its first-ever analysis of citations data from Google AI Overview and Google AI Mode, two of the company’s newer search-layer products, and what the data showed was pretty significant for anyone following the Alphabet stock forecast. As of Tuesday, June 3, Alphabet’s Class C shares (NASDAQ: GOOG) closed Monday at $372.58, down 1.02% or $3.85 on the day, with after-hours trading pulling the stock further to $369.06, a drop of an additional 0.94%.

Alphabet's Class C shares (NASDAQ: GOOG) closed Monday at $372.58
Source: Yahoo Finance

Alphabet Stock Price Target Climbs As Google AI Gains Traction

Google stock bullish
Source: SOPA images / Lightrocket

What the Citation Data Actually Shows

According to Piper Sandler’s findings, daily citations in AI-assisted search have grown approximately 16 times since early 2025, and Alphabet leads citation share at 19.2%, also up 11 percentage points year-over-year, driven largely by YouTube and Google properties. The step-function growth in citations since early 2025 lines up with what management has said previously: AI Mode generates queries three times longer than traditional search, and queries overall are at all-time highs.

Based on those findings, Piper Sandler raised its search revenue estimates by 1% for 2026 and by 5% for 2027. And the Alphabet stock price target of $445 reflects that revised outlook on how much Google AI Overview and Google AI Mode can actually move the needle on revenue.

Where Other Analysts Stand Right Now

The current Wall Street average for the Alphabet stock target sits at $412.94, with a Moderate Buy consensus. Piper Sandler is not alone in its optimism, though. Susquehanna reiterated a “positive” rating and lifted its Alphabet stock price target to $460 on April 30, up from $400. Dbs Bank also moved its target to $460 in early May. Tigress Financial, for its part, set its Alphabet stock price target at $415 and gave the company a “strong-buy” rating back in February.

In terms of the broader Alphabet stock forecast, two research analysts have assigned a Strong Buy, 47 went with a Buy, and five issued a Hold. The most recent quarterly results also gave analysts more reason to stay bullish: EPS came in at $5.11 against an estimate of $2.64, and revenue of $109.9 billion beat the $106.98 billion expected by a solid margin.

Institutional Interest and What It Signals

Institutional investors hold 40.03% of GOOGL right now, and a number of large funds added to their positions in recent quarters. Vanguard Group added around 12.5 million shares in Q4, State Street lifted its stake by 1.8%, Capital World Investors grew its position by 28%, and Capital Research Global Investors added 15.7%. Summit Wealth Group also opened a new position of 8,495 shares, valued at roughly $2.66 million.

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Piper Sandler’s Alphabet stock target upgrade arrives as the firm becomes one of the first to quantify the actual revenue impact of Google AI Overview and Google AI Mode on search, and also on Alphabet’s long-term earnings trajectory. Given the citation growth data and the continued analyst upgrades, the Alphabet stock forecast heading into the second half of 2026 looks constructive for investors watching the name.