In its latest expansion effort in the US, prediction market platform Polymarket says it will launch a prediction market for real estate. The platform has a new partnership with Parcl ti bring real estate into crypto-native prediction markets, using daily housing indices rather than traditional monthly data. It joins a massive effort by Polymarket to expand beyond politics and macro with real estate markets.

Per a Polymarket announcement on Monday, the real estate markets will settle against Parcl’s publicly verifiable city-level indices, designed to reduce ambiguity around outcomes. Prediction markets have begun moving beyond politics into sports, cultural, and real-world economic indicators. From Polymarket to Kalshi, the prediction trading market is likely to continue its rise in 2026 thanks to improved US regulation/approval.

“Prediction markets are gaining substantial momentum and represent a paradigm shift in how views are expressed, and truth is identified,” said Trevor Bacon, CEO of Parcl. “Parcl is the source of truth for real-estate pricing, and we believe real estate should be a major category within the prediction-market ecosystem. Polymarket is a pioneer in the space, and we’re excited to partner with them.”

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“Prediction markets work best when the data is clear, and the outcome can be verified without debate,” added Matthew Modabber, CMO of Polymarket. “Parcl’s daily housing indices give us a strong foundation to launch housing markets that settle transparently and consistently. Real estate should be a first-class category in prediction markets, and this partnership is how we get there.”

Per Polymarket, Parcl and Polymarket will roll out the first set of real estate prediction markets in phases, starting with a curated list of high-liquidity cities and adding additional metros and index-based market types based on user demand. The teams will also collaborate on standardized market templates and tooling that make it easier to create markets with consistent terms, dates, and resolution references.